Triglav vs Primorje: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 23Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Športni Center Stanko Mlakar, Kranj
The Footlab model makes Triglav the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Primorje. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Triglav vs Primorje?
Triglav starts as the favourite with a 202-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Triglav have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Primorje have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(away) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 22, 2026 | Nafta(away) | 1-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 16, 2026 | Bistrica(home) | 0-4 | 2. SNL |
| May 10, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(away) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beltinci(away) | 0-4 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dekani(home) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Krško(away) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
| May 31, 2026 | Nafta(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| May 27, 2026 | Nafta(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Triglav win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Primorje win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Primorje 4-0 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Triglav 2-1 Primorje | 2. SNL |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Primorje 5-2 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Aug 5, 2022 | Triglav 1-2 Primorje | 2. SNL |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Primorje 0-1 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Sep 24, 2021 | Triglav 2-0 Primorje | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Triglav score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Primorje score 0.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triglav | 1.7 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Primorje | 0.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Triglav sit 11th in 2. SNL (3 points from 2 matches) and Primorje sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Triglav | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Primorje | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Triglav vs Primorje?
- The Footlab model makes Triglav the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Primorje.
- Where and when is Triglav vs Primorje played?
- Triglav vs Primorje is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Športni Center Stanko Mlakar, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.