Dresden II vs Budissa Bautzen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 29Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Dresden II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Budissa Bautzen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dresden II vs Budissa Bautzen?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Dresden II (1,758) and Budissa Bautzen (1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Dresden II have 1 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Budissa Bautzen have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eilenburg(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SC Freital(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lichtenberg(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Einheit Rudolstadt(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eilenburg(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 0-14 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Auerbach(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
Dresden II score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 3; Budissa Bautzen score 1.7 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dresden II | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1 | 2/3 | 0/3 |
| Budissa Bautzen | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dresden II sit 8th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (3 points from 1 matches) and Budissa Bautzen sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dresden II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Budissa Bautzen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dresden II vs Budissa Bautzen?
- The Footlab model makes Dresden II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Budissa Bautzen.
- Where and when is Dresden II vs Budissa Bautzen played?
- Dresden II vs Budissa Bautzen is played on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.