Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts: result 1-3 and analysis
Challenge Cup3rd RoundKick-off on September 9, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The moreroom.com Stadium, Dumbarton
Full time
What was the result of Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts?
Kelty Hearts won 1-3 on September 9, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 11′R. LyonKelty Hearts
- 16′B. BiabiKelty Hearts
- 34′M. RuthDumbarton
- 76′B. BiabiKelty Hearts
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dumbarton have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kelty Hearts have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2023 | East Fife(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Kilmarnock II(away) | 1-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Spartans(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2023 | Annan Athletic(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Stirling Albion(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Montrose(away) | 2-0 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Dumbarton score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kelty Hearts score 1.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dumbarton | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Kelty Hearts | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy