Ayr Utd vs Falkirk: result 0-1 and analysis
Challenge Cup3rd RoundKick-off on September 5, 2023 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Somerset Park, Ayr
Full time
What was the result of Ayr Utd vs Falkirk?
Falkirk won 0-1 on September 5, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 30′L. HendersonFalkirk
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayr Utd have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Falkirk have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2023 | Arbroath(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Dundee Utd(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Livingston(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Inverness CT(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Morton(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2023 | Edinburgh City(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Aug 22, 2023 | Stirling Albion(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Cove Rangers(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Annan Athletic(home) | 3-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ayr Utd win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Falkirk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2023 | Falkirk 2-1 Ayr Utd | FA Cup |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Ayr Utd 3-0 Falkirk | League Cup |
| Jul 20, 2019 | Ayr Utd 2-1 Falkirk | League Cup |
| Mar 8, 2019 | Falkirk 2-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Jan 5, 2019 | Ayr Utd 0-1 Falkirk | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Falkirk 0-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ayr Utd score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Falkirk score 2.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Falkirk | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy