Dunaharaszti MTK vs Budafoki LC: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 24Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Dunaharaszti Sportpálya, Dunaharaszti
The Footlab model makes Budafoki LC the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Dunaharaszti MTK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunaharaszti MTK vs Budafoki LC?
Budafoki LC starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,583 vs 1,424).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunaharaszti MTK have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Budafoki LC have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ikarus BSE(away) | 3-2 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Érdi VSE(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Majosi(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ferencváros II(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Siofok(away) | 0-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sárbogárd(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(away) | 2-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 17, 2026 | Fehérvár FC(away) | 3-1 | NB II |
How many goals should we expect?
Dunaharaszti MTK score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Budafoki LC score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunaharaszti MTK | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Budafoki LC | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunaharaszti MTK sit 12th in NB III - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Budafoki LC sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Budafoki LC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 12 | Dunaharaszti MTK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunaharaszti MTK vs Budafoki LC?
- The Footlab model makes Budafoki LC the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Dunaharaszti MTK.
- Where and when is Dunaharaszti MTK vs Budafoki LC played?
- Dunaharaszti MTK vs Budafoki LC is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Dunaharaszti Sportpálya, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.