Budafoki LC vs Pécsi MFC: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 25Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Promontor utcai stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Budafoki LC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Budafoki LC vs Pécsi MFC?
Pécsi MFC starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,705 vs 1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Budafoki LC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Pécsi MFC have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Siofok(away) | 0-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sárbogárd(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(away) | 2-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 17, 2026 | Fehérvár FC(away) | 3-1 | NB II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sárbogárd(home) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sárbogárd(away) | 6-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Budafoki LC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Pécsi MFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2024 | Budafoki LC 2-0 Pécsi MFC | NB II |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Pécsi MFC 1-0 Budafoki LC | NB II |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Pécsi MFC 0-1 Budafoki LC | NB II |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Budafoki LC 2-2 Pécsi MFC | NB II |
| Apr 6, 2022 | Budafoki LC 2-0 Pécsi MFC | NB II |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Pécsi MFC 3-1 Budafoki LC | NB II |
Last archived meeting: Budafoki LC vs Pécsi MFC on May 19, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Budafoki LC score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pécsi MFC score 2.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budafoki LC | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Pécsi MFC | 2.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Budafoki LC sit 5th in NB III - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Pécsi MFC sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pécsi MFC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Budafoki LC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Budafoki LC vs Pécsi MFC?
- The Footlab model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Budafoki LC.
- Where and when is Budafoki LC vs Pécsi MFC played?
- Budafoki LC vs Pécsi MFC is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Promontor utcai stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.