Dunaharaszti MTK vs Sárbogárd: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 30Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Dunaharaszti Sportpálya, Dunaharaszti
The Footlab model makes Dunaharaszti MTK the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Sárbogárd. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunaharaszti MTK vs Sárbogárd?
Dunaharaszti MTK starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,424 vs 1,310).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunaharaszti MTK have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Sárbogárd have 3, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ikarus BSE(away) | 3-2 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Érdi VSE(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Majosi(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ferencváros II(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-3 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(home) | 0-6 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Budafoki LC(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Dunaharaszti MTK score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sárbogárd score 1.1 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunaharaszti MTK | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Sárbogárd | 1.1 | 2.6 | 0 | 8/14 | 12/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunaharaszti MTK sit 12th in NB III - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Sárbogárd sit 15th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Dunaharaszti MTK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | Sárbogárd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunaharaszti MTK vs Sárbogárd?
- The Footlab model makes Dunaharaszti MTK the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Sárbogárd.
- Where and when is Dunaharaszti MTK vs Sárbogárd played?
- Dunaharaszti MTK vs Sárbogárd is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Dunaharaszti Sportpálya, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.