Érdi VSE vs Szekszárd: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 30Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Novák Ferenc Érdi Sportközpont, Érd
The Footlab model makes Érdi VSE the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Szekszárd. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Érdi VSE vs Szekszárd?
Érdi VSE starts as the favourite with a 222-point Elo edge (1,497 vs 1,275).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Érdi VSE have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Szekszárd have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 0-3 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paksi SE II(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Budaörs(home) | 3-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 3-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kaposvar(home) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(away) | 0-8 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Iváncsa(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Paksi SE II(home) | 3-2 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Érdi VSE win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Szekszárd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Érdi VSE 2-2 Szekszárd | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Szekszárd 1-0 Érdi VSE | NB III - Southwest |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Érdi VSE 1-3 Szekszárd | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Szekszárd 2-2 Érdi VSE | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Érdi VSE vs Szekszárd on Nov 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Érdi VSE score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Szekszárd score 1.0 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Érdi VSE | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Szekszárd | 1.0 | 3.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Érdi VSE sit 9th in NB III - Southwest (5 points from 3 matches) and Szekszárd sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Érdi VSE | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 16 | Szekszárd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Érdi VSE vs Szekszárd?
- The Footlab model makes Érdi VSE the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Szekszárd.
- Where and when is Érdi VSE vs Szekszárd played?
- Érdi VSE vs Szekszárd is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Novák Ferenc Érdi Sportközpont, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.