Dunarea Calarasi vs Gloria Băneasa: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complex Municipal Dunărea Teren 1 Ion Comșa, Călăraşi
The Footlab model makes Dunarea Calarasi the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Gloria Băneasa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunarea Calarasi vs Gloria Băneasa?
Dunarea Calarasi starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,449 vs 1,334).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunarea Calarasi have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Gloria Băneasa have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CS Afumati(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni(home) | 2-7 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(home) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(home) | 1-5 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Voluntari II(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(away) | 1-4 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dunarea Calarasi win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gloria Băneasa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa 1-3 Dunarea Calarasi | Cupa României |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa 0-2 Dunarea Calarasi | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Dunarea Calarasi 1-5 Gloria Băneasa | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Gloria Băneasa 0-0 Dunarea Calarasi | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Dunarea Calarasi 2-1 Gloria Băneasa | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Aug 8, 2024 | Gloria Băneasa 0-2 Dunarea Calarasi | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Gloria Băneasa vs Dunarea Calarasi on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dunarea Calarasi score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gloria Băneasa score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunarea Calarasi | 1.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Gloria Băneasa | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunarea Calarasi vs Gloria Băneasa?
- The Footlab model makes Dunarea Calarasi the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Gloria Băneasa.
- Where and when is Dunarea Calarasi vs Gloria Băneasa played?
- Dunarea Calarasi vs Gloria Băneasa is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complex Municipal Dunărea Teren 1 Ion Comșa, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.