Sporting Lieşti vs Dunarea Calarasi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal, Lieşti
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Lieşti the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Dunarea Calarasi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Lieşti wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,677 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Lieşti vs Dunarea Calarasi?
Sporting Lieşti starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,679 vs 1,543).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Lieşti vs Dunarea Calarasi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Lieşti
4-3-3- 9Viorel Costea
- 7Valentin Munteanu
- 99Petrisor Voinea
- 6Bogdan Crihana
- 5Daniel Munchiu
- 11Alexandru Stan
- 77Claudiu Maftei
- 19Tudor Nastase
- 18S. Podasca
- 15P. Popa
- 1Giulio Munteanu
Dunarea Calarasi
4-3-3- DD. Grigore
- DD. Vultur
- AA. Blidar
- MM. Calu
- AAndrei Bogdan Moise
- TT. Popa
- II. Ţenea
- MM. Leca
- MM. Drăghici
- MM. Lupu
- AA. Costache
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 01:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Lieşti have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Dunarea Calarasi have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(home) | 7-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 4-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(away) | 3-5 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Oţelul II(home) | 6-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | FC Oţelul II(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Unirea Braniştea(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Agigea(home) | 0-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Portul Constanta(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Sporting Lieşti wins, 0 draws, 1 Dunarea Calarasi win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi 3-2 Sporting Lieşti | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Dunarea Calarasi vs Sporting Lieşti on Sep 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Lieşti score 3.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dunarea Calarasi score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lieşti | 3.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Dunarea Calarasi | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Lieşti sit 5th in Liga III - Serie 4 (12 points from 7 matches) and Dunarea Calarasi sit 7th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sporting Lieşti | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 12 |
| 7 | Dunarea Calarasi | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
A question about Sporting Lieşti vs Dunarea Calarasi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Lieşti vs Dunarea Calarasi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Lieşti the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Dunarea Calarasi.
- Where and when is Sporting Lieşti vs Dunarea Calarasi played?
- Sporting Lieşti vs Dunarea Calarasi is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.