Dundee vs Aberdeen: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 24Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park, Dundee
The Footlab model makes Dundee the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Aberdeen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dundee vs Aberdeen?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Dundee (1,863) and Aberdeen (1,868).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dundee have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Aberdeen have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Celtic(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Clyde(home) | 4-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dundee(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dundee win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Aberdeen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aberdeen 3-0 Dundee | League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dundee 2-0 Aberdeen | Premiership |
| May 17, 2026 | Dundee 3-2 Aberdeen | Premiership |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Aberdeen 2-3 Dundee | Premiership |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Dundee 1-3 Aberdeen | Premiership |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Aberdeen 4-0 Dundee | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Dundee score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Aberdeen score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Aberdeen | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dundee sit 2nd in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Aberdeen sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dundee | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dundee vs Aberdeen?
- The Footlab model makes Dundee the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Aberdeen.
- Where and when is Dundee vs Aberdeen played?
- Dundee vs Aberdeen is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.