Motherwell vs Dundee Utd: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 24Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fir Park, Motherwell
The Footlab AI model makes Motherwell the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Dundee Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Motherwell wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,853 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Motherwell vs Dundee Utd?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Motherwell (1,850) and Dundee Utd (1,824).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Motherwell vs Dundee Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Motherwell
4-2-3-1- 47S. Palmer-Houlden
- 71J. Hodge
- 8L. Fadinger
- 11A. Lowry
- 18Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
- 19I. Said
- 45M. Emmanuel
- 5M. Moormann
- 7T. Sparrow
- 2S. O'Donnell
- 1A. Paulsen
Dundee Utd
4-3-3- 77D. Bennie
- 21J. Randall
- 93I. Metsoko
- 10D. Tait
- 16L. Cameron
- 14Zidane Iqbal
- 18M. Forbes
- 3B. Esselink
- 23J. Rawlins
- 19K. Ciubotaru
- 1J. Walton
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motherwell have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Dundee Utd have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dundee(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 0-4 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ST Mirren(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 0-3 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Motherwell wins, 1 draw, 1 Dundee Utd win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Motherwell 3-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Motherwell 2-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Dundee Utd 0-0 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Motherwell 2-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Dundee Utd 1-0 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Motherwell 4-3 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Motherwell vs Dundee Utd on Sep 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Motherwell score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dundee Utd score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motherwell | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Dundee Utd | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Motherwell sit 10th in Premiership (8 points from 9 matches) and Dundee Utd sit 6th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
A question about Motherwell vs Dundee Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Motherwell vs Dundee Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Motherwell the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Dundee Utd.
- Where and when is Motherwell vs Dundee Utd played?
- Motherwell vs Dundee Utd is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fir Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.