Durban City vs Kaizer Chiefs: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 23, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 36%, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Durban City. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Durban City vs Kaizer Chiefs?
Kaizer Chiefs starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Durban City have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Kaizer Chiefs have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Richards Bay(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 1-2 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kruger United(away) | 3-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Elche(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Durban City win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kaizer Chiefs win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 Durban City | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Durban City 0-1 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Kaizer Chiefs vs Durban City on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Durban City score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kaizer Chiefs score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durban City | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Kaizer Chiefs | 1.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Durban City sit 12th in Premier Soccer League (2 points from 3 matches) and Kaizer Chiefs sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kaizer Chiefs | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 | Durban City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Durban City vs Kaizer Chiefs?
- The Footlab model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 36%, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Durban City.
- Where and when is Durban City vs Kaizer Chiefs played?
- Durban City vs Kaizer Chiefs is played on April 23, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC), in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.