Durban City vs Kaizer Chiefs: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 23, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Durban City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kaizer Chiefs wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,364 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Durban City vs Kaizer Chiefs?
Kaizer Chiefs starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,726).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Durban City vs Kaizer Chiefs
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Durban City
4-1-4-1- 9T. Morris
- 17K. Jurgens
- 20Jean Lwamba
- 18B. Poggenpoel
- 35L. Sifumba
- 28E. Brooks
- 24J. Mokone
- 2B. Shandu
- 5S. Ncanana
- 30M. Mkhize
- 33F. Asare
Kaizer Chiefs
4-2-3-1- 47W. Duba
- 28Mfundo Vilakazi
- 5S. Mthethwa
- 7M. Shabalala
- 6L. Maboe
- 13P. Mmodi
- 42T. Moloisane
- 29P. Mako
- 84Inácio Miguel
- 39R. Frosler
- 1B. Petersen
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 03:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Durban City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kaizer Chiefs have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-4 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | ASPL 2000(away) | 3-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | ASPL 2000(home) | 3-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Siwelele(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | TS Galaxy(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Red Arrows(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Red Arrows(away) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Durban City wins, 0 draws, 2 Kaizer Chiefs wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 Durban City | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Durban City 0-1 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Kaizer Chiefs vs Durban City on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Durban City score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kaizer Chiefs score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durban City | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Kaizer Chiefs | 1.4 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Durban City sit 13th in Premier Soccer League (7 points from 9 matches) and Kaizer Chiefs sit 5th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kaizer Chiefs | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 14 |
| 13 | Durban City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Durban City vs Kaizer Chiefs?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Durban City vs Kaizer Chiefs?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Durban City.
- Where and when is Durban City vs Kaizer Chiefs played?
- Durban City vs Kaizer Chiefs is played on April 23, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC), in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.