Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg, GA
The Footlab AI model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Mamelodi Sundowns. The most likely score is 1-1. If Orlando Pirates wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Orlando Pirates (2,056) and Mamelodi Sundowns (2,085).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Orlando Pirates
4-2-3-1- 9Y. Mbuthuma
- 33T. Mokobodi
- 20S. Selepe
- 48S. Masilela
- 11T. Moremi
- 16T. Mbatha
- 6L. Seema
- 5N. Sibisi
- 3N. Ndaba
- 7D. Hotto
- 24S. Chaine
Mamelodi Sundowns
4-1-3-2- 33C. Mailula
- 12B. León
- 11M. Allende
- 17T. Matthews
- 10Nuno Santos
- 15B. Aubaas
- 3K. Ndamane
- 42Malibongwe Khoza
- 22T. Matuludi
- 6A. Modiba
- 31R. Goss
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 09:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orlando Pirates have 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Mamelodi Sundowns have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(home) | 2-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Milford FC(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | African Stars(home) | 4-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | African Stars(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | TS Galaxy(home) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 4-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Wiliete(home) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Wiliete(away) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Orlando Pirates win, 3 draws, 2 Mamelodi Sundowns wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Orlando Pirates 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns | 8 Cup |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Orlando Pirates 1-2 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 Orlando Pirates | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Orlando Pirates 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns | 8 Cup |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Orlando Pirates 2-1 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orlando Pirates score 2.2 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates | 2.2 | 0.3 | 12 | 2/15 | 8/15 |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 2.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orlando Pirates sit 2nd in Premier Soccer League (25 points from 9 matches) and Mamelodi Sundowns sit 1st (26 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 26 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 25 |
A question about Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
- The Footlab AI model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Mamelodi Sundowns.
- Where and when is Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns played?
- Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Orlando Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.