Durban City vs Orlando Pirates: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for Durban City. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Durban City vs Orlando Pirates?
Orlando Pirates starts as the favourite with a 292-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Durban City have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Orlando Pirates have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Kruger United(away) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Richards Bay(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 1-2 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 2-1 | 8 Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Durban City win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Orlando Pirates win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orlando Pirates 2-1 Durban City | 8 Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | Orlando Pirates 0-0 Durban City | Premier Soccer League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Durban City 0-2 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Orlando Pirates vs Durban City on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Durban City score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Orlando Pirates score 1.6 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durban City | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Orlando Pirates | 1.6 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Durban City sit 7th in Premier Soccer League (5 points from 4 matches) and Orlando Pirates sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Durban City | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Durban City vs Orlando Pirates?
- The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for Durban City.
- Where and when is Durban City vs Orlando Pirates played?
- Durban City vs Orlando Pirates is played on February 26, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC), in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.