Orlando Pirates vs Durban City: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg, GA
The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 75%, against 18% for a draw and 7% for Durban City. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orlando Pirates vs Durban City?
Orlando Pirates starts as the favourite with a 287-point Elo edge (2,020 vs 1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orlando Pirates have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Durban City have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 2-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Milford FC(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Richards Bay(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 1-2 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Orlando Pirates win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Durban City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orlando Pirates 2-1 Durban City | 8 Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | Orlando Pirates 0-0 Durban City | Premier Soccer League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Durban City 0-2 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Orlando Pirates vs Durban City on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orlando Pirates score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Durban City score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates | 1.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Durban City | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orlando Pirates sit 1st in Premier Soccer League (7 points from 3 matches) and Durban City sit 12th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Durban City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orlando Pirates vs Durban City?
- The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 75%, against 18% for a draw and 7% for Durban City.
- Where and when is Orlando Pirates vs Durban City played?
- Orlando Pirates vs Durban City is played on September 16, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Orlando Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.