East Thurrock United vs Dover: result 1-1 and analysis
FA Trophy1st RoundKick-off on November 30, 2013 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Rookery Hill, Corringham, Essex
Full time
What was the result of East Thurrock United vs Dover?
East Thurrock United and Dover drew 1-1 on November 30, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 79′Tom MurphyDover
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Thurrock United have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Dover have 8, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2013 | Merthyr Town(home) | 4-2 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 2, 2013 | Canvey Island(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Eastbourne Town(away) | 0-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 17, 2013 | AFC Hornchurch(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 14, 2013 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2013 | Bath City(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 9, 2013 | Corby Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Oxford City(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Rushden & Diamonds(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Guernsey(away) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
East Thurrock United score 2.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Thurrock United | 2.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Dover | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/13 | 9/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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