Dover vs Wealdstone: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Dover the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Wealdstone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dover wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dover vs Wealdstone?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Dover (1,787) and Wealdstone (1,764).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dover vs Wealdstone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Wealdstone
4-3-3- 9O. Olomola
- 7L. Norris
- 26F. Okenabirhie
- 4J. Wells-Morrison
- 15A. Henry
- 11Daniel Chesters
- 12A. Francis-Clarke
- 32Abraham Kanu
- 5D. Conroy
- 3J. Newton
- 1D. Baptiste
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Wealdstone have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Derby County U21(home) | 2-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Southend(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 2-3 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 1-0 | National League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dover wins, 0 draws, 2 Wealdstone wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | Wealdstone 2-1 Dover | National League |
| Nov 23, 2021 | Dover 2-3 Wealdstone | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wealdstone score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Wealdstone | 1.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Dover vs Wealdstone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dover vs Wealdstone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dover the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Wealdstone.
- Where and when is Dover vs Wealdstone played?
- Dover vs Wealdstone is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.