East Thurrock United vs Merthyr Town: result 4-2 and analysis
FA Trophy3rd Round QualifyingKick-off on November 16, 2013 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Rookery Hill, Corringham, Essex
Full time
What was the result of East Thurrock United vs Merthyr Town?
East Thurrock United won 4-2 on November 16, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Thurrock United have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Merthyr Town have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2013 | Canvey Island(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Eastbourne Town(away) | 0-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 17, 2013 | AFC Hornchurch(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 14, 2013 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 30, 2012 | Thurrock(away) | 3-4 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2013 | Dunstable Town(home) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Slough Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 8, 2013 | Yate Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Yate Town(home) | 0-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Bridgwater Town(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
East Thurrock United score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Merthyr Town score 1.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Thurrock United | 2.1 | 1.6 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Merthyr Town | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy