Eastern vs Southern District: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on March 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mong Kok Stadium, Hong Kong
The Footlab AI model makes Southern District the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Eastern. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southern District wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastern vs Southern District?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Eastern (1,512) and Southern District (1,436).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eastern vs Southern District
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eastern
4-3-3- 9Y. Okubo
- 11Felipe Sá
- 23Lee Lok Him
- 27Gondra
- 32Hin Ting Lam
- 16Leung Chun Pong
- 5Alejandro Cova
- 4Alejandro Parada Gil
- 22Leung Kwun Chung
- 14Tsz Hin Loong
- 25Ko Chun Wilson
Southern District
4-3-3- 12Kak Yi Lai
- 22S. Golubović
- 9Poon Pui Hin
- 11S. Sasaki
- 99Cheng Tsz-Sum
- 10Wong Ho Chun Anson
- 2C. Hall
- 3Fabio Erins
- 16Chak Ting Fung
- 4K. Kawase
- 1Ng Wai Him
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastern have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Southern District have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | North District(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | North District(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-1 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Eastern wins, 1 draw, 1 Southern District win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Eastern 3-1 Southern District | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Southern District 1-1 Eastern | Premier League |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Southern District 1-0 Eastern | Sapling Cup |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Eastern 2-1 Southern District | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Eastern 2-0 Southern District | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Eastern 1-0 Southern District | Senior Shield |
Last archived meeting: Eastern vs Southern District on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eastern score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Southern District score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern | 1.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Southern District | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastern sit 5th in Premier League (32 points from 22 matches) and Southern District sit 2nd (25 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Southern DistrictPlacement Round | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 25 |
| 5 | EasternPremier League, Championship Round | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 32 |
A question about Eastern vs Southern District?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastern vs Southern District?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southern District the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Eastern.
- Where and when is Eastern vs Southern District played?
- Eastern vs Southern District is played on March 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Mong Kok Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.