Shatin vs Eastern District: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Ma On Shan Recreation Ground, Hong Kong
The Footlab AI model makes Eastern District the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Shatin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eastern District wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shatin vs Eastern District?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Shatin (1,310) and Eastern District (1,350).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shatin vs Eastern District
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shatin
4-3-3- 28Hoi-To Lai
- 9J. Scott
- 22Tsz-Yin So
- 4R. Cheng Chun-Wang
- 8Lam Hok Hei
- 4Cheng Chun Wang Ryan
- 45M. Ansah
- 30J. Arthur
- 47S. Takatori
- 31Law Tsz Chun
- 93M. F. Ho
Eastern District
4-3-3- 11Luizinho
- 7Michel Renner
- 17Leo
- 15Bruno Luiz
- 8C. Scott
- 16T. B. Kwok
- 13Li Ngai-Hoi
- 4Bruno Bianconi
- 5Hélio Gonçalves
- 3Sung Wang Ngai Kohki
- 23Paulo César
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shatin have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Eastern District have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Warriors(home) | 0-1 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | North District(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Southern District(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kowloon City(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Southern District(away) | 1-2 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Kitchee(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shatin wins, 0 draws, 4 Eastern District wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Eastern District 3-1 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Shatin 0-1 Eastern District | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Eastern District 0-3 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Shatin 3-4 Eastern District | HKFA 1st Division |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Eastern District 4-2 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Shatin 3-0 Eastern District | HKFA 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Eastern District vs Shatin on May 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Shatin score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Eastern District score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatin | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Eastern District | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Eastern District | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
A question about Shatin vs Eastern District?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shatin vs Eastern District?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eastern District the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Shatin.
- Where and when is Shatin vs Eastern District played?
- Shatin vs Eastern District is played on April 3, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Ma On Shan Recreation Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.