Match

Ebbsfleet United vs Dover: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 41Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kuflink Stadium, Northfleet, Kent

Ebbsfleet UnitedDover

The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Dover. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Dover?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Ebbsfleet United (1,817) and Dover (1,727).

Ebbsfleet United win61 %
Draw21 %
Dover win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebbsfleet United have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Dover have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ebbsfleet United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Gillingham(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Cray Valley PM(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026West Ham United U21(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Dartford(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Worthing(away)0-2National League - South
Dover
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Slough Town(home)5-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Billericay Town(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Ebbsfleet United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Dover win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2026Ebbsfleet United 4-0 DoverNational League - South
Dec 30, 2025Dover 1-2 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Jan 14, 2023Dover 1-2 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Sep 17, 2022Ebbsfleet United 2-0 DoverFA Cup
Aug 29, 2022Ebbsfleet United 3-0 DoverNational League - South
Sep 19, 2020Ebbsfleet United 2-1 DoverFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Ebbsfleet United vs Dover on Apr 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ebbsfleet United1.91.5310/1513/15
Dover1.21.827/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Dover4202886

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ebbsfleet United vs Dover?
The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Dover.
Where and when is Ebbsfleet United vs Dover played?
Ebbsfleet United vs Dover is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kuflink Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ebbsfleet United and Dover

Ready to know everything about football?