Dover vs Folkestone Invicta: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 42Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dover vs Folkestone Invicta?
Folkestone Invicta starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Folkestone Invicta have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 5-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Dover win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Folkestone Invicta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2024 | Folkestone Invicta 0-1 Dover | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Dover 2-3 Folkestone Invicta | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Dover 2-1 Folkestone Invicta | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Dover 2-1 Folkestone Invicta | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Folkestone Invicta vs Dover on Nov 5, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Folkestone Invicta score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Folkestone Invicta | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dover sit 10th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Folkestone Invicta sit 12th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dover | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | Folkestone Invicta | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dover vs Folkestone Invicta?
- The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Dover.
- Where and when is Dover vs Folkestone Invicta played?
- Dover vs Folkestone Invicta is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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