Ebony FC vs Ebusua Dwarfs: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Ebony FC the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Ebusua Dwarfs. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ebony FC vs Ebusua Dwarfs?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Ebony FC (1,500) and Ebusua Dwarfs (1,570).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebony FC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ebusua Dwarfs have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Eleven Wise(away) | 3-2 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | New Edubiase(home) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Ebusua Dwarfs(away) | 0-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Soccer Intellectuals(home) | 0-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | King Faisal(away) | 1-4 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Elmina Sharks(home) | 2-2 | Division One League |
| May 10, 2026 | Future Stars(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Ebony FC(home) | 0-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Sefwi All Stars(away) | 0-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Police National(home) | 1-0 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ebony FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ebusua Dwarfs win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Ebusua Dwarfs 0-0 Ebony FC | Division One League |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Ebony FC 0-1 Ebusua Dwarfs | Division One League |
Last archived meeting: Ebusua Dwarfs vs Ebony FC on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ebony FC score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ebusua Dwarfs score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebony FC | 0.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Ebusua Dwarfs | 1.0 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ebony FC sit 5th in Division One League (3 points from 1 matches) and Ebusua Dwarfs sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ebony FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Ebusua Dwarfs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ebony FC vs Ebusua Dwarfs?
- The Footlab model makes Ebony FC the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Ebusua Dwarfs.
- Where and when is Ebony FC vs Ebusua Dwarfs played?
- Ebony FC vs Ebusua Dwarfs is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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