Ebro vs SD Logroñés: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Almozara, Zaragoza
The Footlab model makes Ebro the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for SD Logroñés. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ebro vs SD Logroñés?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Ebro (1,908) and SD Logroñés (1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebro have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; SD Logroñés have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Huesca II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Utebo(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Beasain(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Tudelano(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Alfaro(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Ebro win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 SD Logroñés win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Ebro 1-1 SD Logroñés | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | SD Logroñés 2-1 Ebro | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 17, 2021 | SD Logroñés 3-0 Ebro | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 14, 2020 | Ebro 0-0 SD Logroñés | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ebro score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SD Logroñés score 0.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebro | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| SD Logroñés | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ebro sit 8th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (49 points from 34 matches) and SD Logroñés sit 13th (37 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ebro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 42 | 36 | 49 |
| 13 | SD Logroñés | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ebro vs SD Logroñés?
- The Footlab model makes Ebro the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for SD Logroñés.
- Where and when is Ebro vs SD Logroñés played?
- Ebro vs SD Logroñés is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Almozara, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.