Olot vs Manresa: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Camp Municipal d'Olot, Olot
The Footlab model makes Olot the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Manresa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olot vs Manresa?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Olot (1,856) and Manresa (1,839).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olot have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Manresa have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sant Andreu(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vilanova(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grama(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Olot win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Manresa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | Olot 0-0 Manresa | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Manresa 1-0 Olot | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Olot 1-1 Manresa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Manresa 0-3 Olot | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Olot score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Manresa score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olot | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Manresa | 1.6 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olot vs Manresa?
- The Footlab model makes Olot the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Manresa.
- Where and when is Olot vs Manresa played?
- Olot vs Manresa is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Municipal d'Olot, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.