Ebusua Dwarfs vs Elmina Sharks: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Robert Mensah Sports Stadium, Cape Coast
The Footlab AI model makes Ebusua Dwarfs the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Elmina Sharks. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ebusua Dwarfs vs Elmina Sharks?
Ebusua Dwarfs starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,600 vs 1,474).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ebusua Dwarfs vs Elmina Sharks
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ebusua Dwarfs
4-3-3- 10J. Esso
- 20B. Luqman
- 31A. Mustapha
- 29N. Gyan
- 25Stephen Bentil
- 19K. Nteng
- 2Christopher Bonney
- 3E. Ackon
- 15S. Aidoo
- 26D. Nkrumah-Korsah
- 30F. Andoh
Elmina Sharks
Not enough data to predict the Elmina Sharks lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebusua Dwarfs have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Elmina Sharks have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nsuopun Fidelity(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | King Faisal(away) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ebony FC(home) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Skyy(away) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| May 17, 2026 | Elmina Sharks(home) | 2-2 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Nations(away) | 0-2 | Division One League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | PAC Academy(home) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sefwi All Stars(away) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fettehman United(home) | 0-0 | Division One League |
| May 17, 2026 | Ebusua Dwarfs(away) | 2-2 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ebusua Dwarfs win, 3 draws, 2 Elmina Sharks wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Ebusua Dwarfs 2-2 Elmina Sharks | Division One League |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Elmina Sharks 0-1 Ebusua Dwarfs | Division One League |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Elmina Sharks 1-0 Ebusua Dwarfs | Premier League |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Ebusua Dwarfs 2-2 Elmina Sharks | Premier League |
| Feb 19, 2020 | Elmina Sharks 1-0 Ebusua Dwarfs | Premier League |
| May 30, 2018 | Elmina Sharks 2-2 Ebusua Dwarfs | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ebusua Dwarfs vs Elmina Sharks on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ebusua Dwarfs score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Elmina Sharks score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebusua Dwarfs | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Elmina Sharks | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ebusua Dwarfs sit 4th in Division One League (6 points from 3 matches) and Elmina Sharks sit 6th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ebusua Dwarfs | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Elmina Sharks | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
A question about Ebusua Dwarfs vs Elmina Sharks?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ebusua Dwarfs vs Elmina Sharks?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ebusua Dwarfs the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Elmina Sharks.
- Where and when is Ebusua Dwarfs vs Elmina Sharks played?
- Ebusua Dwarfs vs Elmina Sharks is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Robert Mensah Sports Stadium, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.