Ebusua Dwarfs vs Elmina Sharks: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Robert Mensah Sports Stadium, Cape Coast
The Footlab model makes Ebusua Dwarfs the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Elmina Sharks. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ebusua Dwarfs vs Elmina Sharks?
Ebusua Dwarfs starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,570 vs 1,452).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebusua Dwarfs have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Elmina Sharks have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Elmina Sharks(home) | 2-2 | Division One League |
| May 10, 2026 | Future Stars(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Ebony FC(home) | 0-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Sefwi All Stars(away) | 0-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Police National(home) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Ebusua Dwarfs(away) | 2-2 | Division One League |
| May 10, 2026 | Soccer Intellectuals(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | King Faisal(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | PAC Academy(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Nsuopun Fidelity(away) | 0-1 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ebusua Dwarfs win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Elmina Sharks win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Ebusua Dwarfs 2-2 Elmina Sharks | Division One League |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Elmina Sharks 0-1 Ebusua Dwarfs | Division One League |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Elmina Sharks 1-0 Ebusua Dwarfs | Premier League |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Ebusua Dwarfs 2-2 Elmina Sharks | Premier League |
| Feb 19, 2020 | Elmina Sharks 1-0 Ebusua Dwarfs | Premier League |
| May 30, 2018 | Elmina Sharks 2-2 Ebusua Dwarfs | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ebusua Dwarfs vs Elmina Sharks on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ebusua Dwarfs score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Elmina Sharks score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebusua Dwarfs | 1.0 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Elmina Sharks | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ebusua Dwarfs sit 8th in Division One League (1 points from 1 matches) and Elmina Sharks sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ebusua Dwarfs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Elmina Sharks | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ebusua Dwarfs vs Elmina Sharks?
- The Footlab model makes Ebusua Dwarfs the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Elmina Sharks.
- Where and when is Ebusua Dwarfs vs Elmina Sharks played?
- Ebusua Dwarfs vs Elmina Sharks is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Robert Mensah Sports Stadium, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.