EC São Bernardo vs Desportivo Brasil: result 3-1 and analysis
Paulista - A3Regular Season - 12Kick-off on September 18, 2020 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Primeiro de Maio, São Bernardo do Campo, São Paulo
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What was the result of EC São Bernardo vs Desportivo Brasil?
EC São Bernardo won 3-1 on September 18, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 36′Caio César Alves dos SantosDesportivo Brasil
- 45′IagoEC São Bernardo (pen.)
- 78′MatheusEC São Bernardo
- 83′IagoEC São Bernardo (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, EC São Bernardo have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Desportivo Brasil have 4, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2020 | Velo Clube(away) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Batatais(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Grêmio Osasco(away) | 3-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Rio Preto(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Primavera SP(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2020 | Barretos(home) | 2-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Rio Preto(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Noroeste(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 28, 2020 | Linense(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Comercial(home) | 1-2 | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
EC São Bernardo score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 11; Desportivo Brasil score 1.4 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EC São Bernardo | 1.4 | 0.7 | 5 | 3/11 | 4/11 |
| Desportivo Brasil | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2 | 6/11 | 5/11 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
EC São Bernardo sit 7th in Paulista - A3 (23 points from 15 matches) and Desportivo Brasil sit 15th (8 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | EC São Bernardo | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 23 |
| 15 | Desportivo Brasil | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy