Noroeste vs Comercial: result 2-3 and analysis
Paulista - A3Regular Season - 12Kick-off on September 19, 2020 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Noroeste vs Comercial?
Comercial won 2-3 on September 19, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 28′Guilherme TeixeiraNoroeste
- 68′Pablo CaiqueComercial (o.g.)
- 71′WarleiComercial
- 75′Guilherme TeixeiraNoroeste
- 82′WarleiComercial
Official lineup for Noroeste vs Comercial
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Noroeste
- FFidel
- MMatheus Blade
- RRicharlyson Barbosa Felisbino
- RRogério Maranhão
- DDiego Souza
- RRenan
- IIgor
- GGuilherme Teixeira
- JJean Pierre
- JJonatas
- PPablo Caique
Comercial
- WWesley da Silva
- LLucas Fernando de Britto Lino
- BBruno Sabiá
- AAntonio Junior Estacio Cardoso
- BBrayan
- LLuã
- CCesinha
- RRodrigo Sabiá
- JJuan
- RRusso
- KKaique Rocha da Silva
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Noroeste have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Comercial have 5, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2020 | Olímpia(away) | 3-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Capivariano(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Desportivo Brasil(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Velo Clube(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Nacional SP(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2020 | Marília(home) | 3-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Barretos(away) | 2-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Linense(home) | 3-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Capivariano(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Desportivo Brasil(away) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Noroeste score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 11; Comercial score 1.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noroeste | 1.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 3/11 | 3/11 |
| Comercial | 1.4 | 1.0 | 3 | 5/11 | 7/11 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Comercial | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 11 |
A question about Noroeste vs Comercial?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy