Ecuador vs Germany: result 2-1 and analysis
World CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on June 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
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What was the result of Ecuador vs Germany?
Ecuador won 2-1 on June 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 2′L. SanéGermany
- 9′N. AnguloEcuador
- 47′?Germany
- 77′G. PlataEcuador
Official lineup for Ecuador vs Germany
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ecuador
- 13E. Valencia
- 19G. Plata
- 9J. Yeboah
- 15P. Vite
- 20N. Angulo
- 23M. Caicedo
- 3P. Hincapié
- 4J. Ordoñez
- 6W. Pacho
- 21A. Franco
- 1H. Galíndez
Germany
3-4-2-1- 7K. Havertz
- 17F. Wirtz
- 10J. Musiala
- 22D. Raum
- 5A. Pavlović
- 23F. Nmecha
- 19L. Sané
- 2A. Rüdiger
- 4J. Tah
- 6J. Kimmich
- 1M. Neuer
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ecuador have 4 wins, 10 draws and 1 defeat; Germany have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Curaçao(home) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Ivory Coast(away) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Guatemala(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| May 31, 2026 | Saudi Arabia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Netherlands(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Ivory Coast(home) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Curaçao(home) | 7-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | USA(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| May 31, 2026 | Finland(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Ghana(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Ecuador score 0.8 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Germany score 2.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | 0.8 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Germany | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ecuador sit 3rd in World Cup (0 points from 1 match) and Germany sit 1st (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
A question about Ecuador vs Germany?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy