Ecuador vs Uruguay: result 4-2 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on October 13, 2020 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
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What was the result of Ecuador vs Uruguay?
Ecuador won 4-2 on October 13, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 15′M. CaicedoEcuador
- 45′M. EstradaEcuador
- 52′M. EstradaEcuador
- 75′G. PlataEcuador
- 84′L. SuárezUruguay (pen.)
- 90′L. SuárezUruguay (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ecuador have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Uruguay have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2020 | Argentina(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 20, 2019 | Colombia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 15, 2019 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Argentina(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies |
| Sep 11, 2019 | Bolivia(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2020 | Chile(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 18, 2019 | Argentina(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 15, 2019 | Hungary(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 16, 2019 | Peru(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 11, 2019 | Peru(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ecuador win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Uruguay win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2019 | Uruguay 4-0 Ecuador | Copa America |
| Nov 10, 2016 | Uruguay 2-1 Ecuador | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 12, 2015 | Ecuador 2-1 Uruguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Ecuador score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Uruguay score 1.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Uruguay | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ecuador sit 2nd in World Cup - Qualification South America (29 points from 18 matches) and Uruguay sit 4th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 29 |
| 4 | Uruguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy