Peru vs Brazil: result 2-4 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on October 14, 2020 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nacional de Lima, Lima
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What was the result of Peru vs Brazil?
Brazil won 2-4 on October 14, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 6′A. CarrilloPeru
- 28′NeymarBrazil (pen.)
- 59′R. TapiaPeru
- 64′RicharlisonBrazil
- 83′NeymarBrazil (pen.)
- 90′NeymarBrazil
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peru have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Brazil have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2020 | Paraguay(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Colombia(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 16, 2019 | Uruguay(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 11, 2019 | Uruguay(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 11, 2019 | Brazil(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2020 | Bolivia(home) | 5-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 19, 2019 | South Korea(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 15, 2019 | Argentina(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Nigeria(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 10, 2019 | Senegal(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Peru win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Brazil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2019 | Brazil 0-1 Peru | Friendlies |
| Jul 7, 2019 | Brazil 3-1 Peru | Copa America |
| Jun 22, 2019 | Peru 0-5 Brazil | Copa America |
| Nov 16, 2016 | Peru 0-2 Brazil | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 13, 2016 | Brazil 0-1 Peru | Copa America |
| Nov 18, 2015 | Brazil 3-0 Peru | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Peru score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brazil score 2.3 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peru | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Brazil | 2.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peru sit 9th in World Cup - Qualification South America (12 points from 18 matches) and Brazil sit 5th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brazil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 28 |
| 9 | Peru | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 12 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy