Ecuador vs Venezuela: result 2-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaGroup Stage - 13Kick-off on March 21, 2025 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Full time
What was the result of Ecuador vs Venezuela?
Ecuador won 2-1 on March 21, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 39′E. ValenciaEcuador
- 46′E. ValenciaEcuador
- 90′J. CádizVenezuela
Official lineup for Ecuador vs Venezuela
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ecuador
4-2-3-1- 13E. Valencia
- 18J. Corozo
- 19G. Plata
- 21A. Franco
- 15P. Vite
- 23M. Caicedo
- 7P. Estupiñán
- 6W. Pacho
- 2F. Torres
- 4J. Ordoñez
- 1H. Galíndez
Venezuela
4-3-3- 19G. Mendoza
- 23S. Rondón
- 20E. Bello
- 16T. Segovia
- 18C. Cásseres
- 15J. Bueno
- 5C. Makoun
- 2N. Ferraresi
- 4J. Mejías
- 21A. González
- 22R. Romo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ecuador have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Venezuela have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | Colombia(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Bolivia(home) | 4-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Uruguay(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Paraguay(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Peru(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | USA(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Chile(away) | 2-4 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Brazil(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Paraguay(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Argentina(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ecuador win, 3 draws, 2 Venezuela wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2024 | Ecuador 1-2 Venezuela | Copa America |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Venezuela 0-0 Ecuador | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 11, 2021 | Ecuador 1-0 Venezuela | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Venezuela 2-1 Ecuador | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 20, 2021 | Venezuela 2-2 Ecuador | Copa America |
| Jun 2, 2019 | Venezuela 1-1 Ecuador | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Ecuador score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Venezuela score 1.0 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Venezuela | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ecuador sit 2nd in World Cup - Qualification South America (29 points from 18 matches) and Venezuela sit 8th (18 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 29 |
| 8 | Venezuela | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 18 |
A question about Ecuador vs Venezuela?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy