Peru vs Bolivia: result 3-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaGroup Stage - 13Kick-off on March 21, 2025 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Nacional de Lima, Lima
Full time
What was the result of Peru vs Bolivia?
Peru won 3-1 on March 21, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 37′A. PoloPeru
- 45′P. GuerreroPeru
- 58′M. TercerosBolivia (pen.)
- 82′É. FloresPeru
Official lineup for Peru vs Bolivia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Peru
4-3-2-1- 9P. Guerrero
- 11B. Reyna
- 7A. Polo
- 10S. Peña
- 13R. Tapia
- 18A. Carrillo
- 6M. Trauco
- 2L. Abram
- 5R. Garcés
- 17L. Advíncula
- 1P. Gallese
Bolivia
4-3-3- 17R. Fernández
- 11C. Algarañaz
- 7M. Terceros
- 10R. Vaca
- 6H. Cuellar
- 15G. Villamíl
- 21Jose Sagredo
- 19E. Morales
- 4L. Haquín
- 3D. Medina
- 23G. Viscarra
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peru have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Bolivia have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | Argentina(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Chile(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Brazil(away) | 0-4 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Uruguay(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Ecuador(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | Paraguay(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Ecuador(away) | 0-4 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Argentina(away) | 0-6 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Colombia(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Chile(away) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Peru wins, 0 draws, 2 Bolivia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2023 | Bolivia 2-0 Peru | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Peru 1-0 Bolivia | Friendlies |
| Nov 12, 2021 | Peru 3-0 Bolivia | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Bolivia 1-0 Peru | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 18, 2019 | Bolivia 1-3 Peru | Copa America |
| Sep 1, 2017 | Peru 2-1 Bolivia | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Peru score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bolivia score 0.9 and concede 2.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peru | 0.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Bolivia | 0.9 | 2.4 | 3 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peru sit 9th in World Cup - Qualification South America (12 points from 18 matches) and Bolivia sit 7th (20 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bolivia | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 20 |
| 9 | Peru | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 12 |
A question about Peru vs Bolivia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy