Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab AI model makes Edinburgh City the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Dumbarton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Edinburgh City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton?
On Elo ratings, Edinburgh City has 1,479 points and Dumbarton 1,438.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Edinburgh City
4-3-3- 7L. Walker
- 11I. Lawson
- 20T. North
- 18M. Aiken
- 21F. Rowe
- 24Keir Foster
- 5J. Grigor
- 2C. McGinn
- 23J. McGregor
- 5J. Walker
- 1M. Weir
Dumbarton
5-3-2- 21S. Honeyman
- 20Robert James Karl Cleary
- 8J. Todd
- 6O. Hartington
- 10D. Craig
- 24M. Doyle
- 3A. Omar
- 5T. Lang
- 19C. McKenna
- 34T. Robson
- 54M. Munn
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Edinburgh City have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Dumbarton have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | St. Mirren U21(home) | 0-5 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spartans(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stranraer(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 0-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Dundee United II(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Edinburgh City wins, 1 draw, 0 Dumbarton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dumbarton 0-3 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| May 2, 2026 | Edinburgh City 5-0 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Dumbarton 1-2 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Edinburgh City 4-3 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Dumbarton 1-2 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| May 7, 2022 | Dumbarton 1-1 Edinburgh City | League One |
Last archived meeting: Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Edinburgh City score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dumbarton score 1.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edinburgh City | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Dumbarton | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Edinburgh City sit 9th in League Two (10 points from 10 matches) and Dumbarton sit 6th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dumbarton | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 12 |
| 9 | Edinburgh City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 10 |
A question about Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Edinburgh City the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Dumbarton.
- Where and when is Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton played?
- Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.