Edinburgh City vs Forfar Athletic: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab model makes Edinburgh City the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Forfar Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Edinburgh City vs Forfar Athletic?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Edinburgh City (1,532) and Forfar Athletic (1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Edinburgh City have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Forfar Athletic have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Annan Athletic(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dumbarton(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cowdenbeath(home) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 0-5 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Aberdeen U21(home) | 0-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Edinburgh City win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Forfar Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Forfar Athletic 4-0 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Edinburgh City 0-0 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Forfar Athletic 2-3 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Forfar Athletic 1-1 Edinburgh City | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Edinburgh City 1-1 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Edinburgh City 0-0 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Forfar Athletic vs Edinburgh City on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Edinburgh City score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Forfar Athletic score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edinburgh City | 1.6 | 1.8 | 6 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Forfar Athletic | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Edinburgh City sit 10th in League Two (2 points from 4 matches) and Forfar Athletic sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Forfar Athletic | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Edinburgh City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Edinburgh City vs Forfar Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Edinburgh City the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Forfar Athletic.
- Where and when is Edinburgh City vs Forfar Athletic played?
- Edinburgh City vs Forfar Athletic is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.