Elgin City vs Stirling Albion: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Borough Briggs, Elgin
The Footlab model makes Elgin City the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Stirling Albion. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elgin City vs Stirling Albion?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Elgin City (1,564) and Stirling Albion (1,487).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elgin City have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Stirling Albion have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 5-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 4-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dumbarton(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Elgin City win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Stirling Albion win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Stirling Albion 2-2 Elgin City | League Two |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Elgin City 1-0 Stirling Albion | League Two |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Elgin City 4-2 Stirling Albion | FA Cup |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Stirling Albion 1-1 Elgin City | League Two |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Elgin City 3-0 Stirling Albion | League Two |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Elgin City 0-2 Stirling Albion | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Stirling Albion vs Elgin City on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elgin City score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stirling Albion score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elgin City | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Stirling Albion | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elgin City sit 2nd in League Two (8 points from 4 matches) and Stirling Albion sit 6th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Elgin City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Stirling Albion | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elgin City vs Stirling Albion?
- The Footlab model makes Elgin City the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Stirling Albion.
- Where and when is Elgin City vs Stirling Albion played?
- Elgin City vs Stirling Albion is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Briggs, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.