Eendracht Aalst vs HO Kalken: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Het Pierre Cornelisstadion, Aalst
The Footlab model makes Eendracht Aalst the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for HO Kalken. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eendracht Aalst vs HO Kalken?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Eendracht Aalst (1,840) and HO Kalken (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eendracht Aalst have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; HO Kalken have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 1-6 | Cup |
| May 5, 2024 | Gullegem(home) | 1-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Harelbeke(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Ninove(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gullegem(away) | 0-5 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Harelbeke(away) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Diksmuide(away) | 0-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
How many goals should we expect?
Eendracht Aalst score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; HO Kalken score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eendracht Aalst | 2.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| HO Kalken | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | HO Kalken | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 58 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eendracht Aalst vs HO Kalken?
- The Footlab model makes Eendracht Aalst the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for HO Kalken.
- Where and when is Eendracht Aalst vs HO Kalken played?
- Eendracht Aalst vs HO Kalken is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Het Pierre Cornelisstadion, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.