Ninove vs Mechelen II: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadion De Kloppers, Meerbeeke
The Footlab model makes Mechelen II the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Ninove. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ninove vs Mechelen II?
Mechelen II starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,796 vs 1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ninove have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Mechelen II have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Merelbeke(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Diegem Sport(away) | 0-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Rupel Boom(home) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Torhout(away) | 5-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 1-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ninove score 1.2 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mechelen II score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ninove | 1.2 | 3.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Mechelen II | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mechelen II | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 58 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ninove vs Mechelen II?
- The Footlab model makes Mechelen II the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Ninove.
- Where and when is Ninove vs Mechelen II played?
- Ninove vs Mechelen II is played on October 10, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Kloppers, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.