Eendracht Aalst vs Ninove: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 1Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Het Pierre Cornelisstadion, Aalst
The Footlab model makes Eendracht Aalst the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Ninove. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eendracht Aalst vs Ninove?
Eendracht Aalst starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eendracht Aalst have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Ninove have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 1-6 | Cup |
| May 5, 2024 | Gullegem(home) | 1-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Harelbeke(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Ninove(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Merelbeke(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Diegem Sport(away) | 0-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Eendracht Aalst win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ninove win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2024 | Eendracht Aalst 3-0 Ninove | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Ninove 2-0 Eendracht Aalst | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
Last archived meeting: Eendracht Aalst vs Ninove on Apr 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Eendracht Aalst score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ninove score 1.2 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eendracht Aalst | 2.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ninove | 1.2 | 3.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eendracht Aalst vs Ninove?
- The Footlab model makes Eendracht Aalst the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Ninove.
- Where and when is Eendracht Aalst vs Ninove played?
- Eendracht Aalst vs Ninove is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Het Pierre Cornelisstadion, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.