Diksmuide vs Ninove: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 12Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark de Pluimen, Diksmuide
The Footlab model makes Diksmuide the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Ninove. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diksmuide vs Ninove?
Diksmuide starts as the favourite with a 258-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diksmuide have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ninove have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Harelbeke(home) | 1-2 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | RFC Wetteren(away) | 4-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Gullegem(home) | 1-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Westhoek(away) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Merelbeke(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Diegem Sport(away) | 0-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Diksmuide score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ninove score 1.2 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diksmuide | 1.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Ninove | 1.2 | 3.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Diksmuide | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 57 | 27 | 63 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diksmuide vs Ninove?
- The Footlab model makes Diksmuide the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Ninove.
- Where and when is Diksmuide vs Ninove played?
- Diksmuide vs Ninove is played on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark de Pluimen, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.