Eendracht Aalst vs Sparta Petegem: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 21Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Het Pierre Cornelisstadion, Aalst
The Footlab model makes Eendracht Aalst the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Sparta Petegem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eendracht Aalst vs Sparta Petegem?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Eendracht Aalst (1,840) and Sparta Petegem (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eendracht Aalst have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Sparta Petegem have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 1-6 | Cup |
| May 5, 2024 | Gullegem(home) | 1-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Harelbeke(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Ninove(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | KRC Gent(away) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | RFC Wetteren(home) | 4-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gullegem(away) | 1-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Westhoek(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Eendracht Aalst win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sparta Petegem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | Sparta Petegem 1-6 Eendracht Aalst | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Eendracht Aalst 3-1 Sparta Petegem | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Sparta Petegem 3-3 Eendracht Aalst | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Eendracht Aalst 3-0 Sparta Petegem | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Petegem vs Eendracht Aalst on Mar 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Eendracht Aalst score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Petegem score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eendracht Aalst | 2.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Sparta Petegem | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sparta Petegem | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eendracht Aalst vs Sparta Petegem?
- The Footlab model makes Eendracht Aalst the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Sparta Petegem.
- Where and when is Eendracht Aalst vs Sparta Petegem played?
- Eendracht Aalst vs Sparta Petegem is played on February 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Het Pierre Cornelisstadion, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.