Sparta Petegem vs Ninove: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Complex Gaversesteenweg, Deinze
The Footlab model makes Sparta Petegem the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Ninove. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Petegem vs Ninove?
Sparta Petegem starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,777 vs 1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Petegem have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ninove have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | KRC Gent(away) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | RFC Wetteren(home) | 4-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gullegem(away) | 1-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Westhoek(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Merelbeke(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Diegem Sport(away) | 0-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Sparta Petegem win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Ninove win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Ninove 4-5 Sparta Petegem | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Sparta Petegem 2-2 Ninove | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Ninove 1-1 Sparta Petegem | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Sparta Petegem 1-1 Ninove | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
Last archived meeting: Ninove vs Sparta Petegem on Apr 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Petegem score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ninove score 1.2 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Petegem | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ninove | 1.2 | 3.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sparta Petegem | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Petegem vs Ninove?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Petegem the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Ninove.
- Where and when is Sparta Petegem vs Ninove played?
- Sparta Petegem vs Ninove is played on February 20, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Complex Gaversesteenweg, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.