Egabrense vs Conil: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Egabrense the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Conil. The most likely score is 1-1. If Egabrense wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Egabrense vs Conil?
On Elo ratings, Egabrense has 1,752 points and Conil 1,744.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Egabrense vs Conil
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Egabrense
Not enough data to predict the Egabrense lineup.
Conil
Not enough data to predict the Conil lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Egabrense have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Conil have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Betis C(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bollullos(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Portuense(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ceuta II(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ceuta II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Córdoba II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 1-2 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Linense(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cádiz II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
How many goals should we expect?
Egabrense score 2.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 6; Conil score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egabrense | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
| Conil | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Egabrense sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (8 points from 6 matches) and Conil sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Egabrense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 8 |
| 14 | Conil | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
A question about Egabrense vs Conil?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Egabrense vs Conil?
- The Footlab AI model makes Egabrense the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Conil.
- Where and when is Egabrense vs Conil played?
- Egabrense vs Conil is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.