Xerez Deportivo vs Utrera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 · Matchday 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera
The Footlab AI model makes Xerez Deportivo the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Utrera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Xerez Deportivo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,072 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Xerez Deportivo vs Utrera?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Xerez Deportivo (1,911) and Utrera (1,879).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Xerez Deportivo vs Utrera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Xerez Deportivo
Not enough data to predict the Xerez Deportivo lineup.
Utrera
Not enough data to predict the Utrera lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 12:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xerez Deportivo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Utrera have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tomares(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chiclana(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Egabrense(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Roque Lepe(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Portuense(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ceuta II(away) | 2-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Linense(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cádiz II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Xerez Deportivo wins, 2 draws, 1 Utrera win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Utrera 1-3 Xerez Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Xerez Deportivo 0-0 Utrera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Xerez Deportivo 2-1 Utrera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Utrera 0-2 Xerez Deportivo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Utrera 3-0 Xerez Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Xerez Deportivo 0-0 Utrera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Utrera vs Xerez Deportivo on May 5, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Xerez Deportivo score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Utrera score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xerez Deportivo | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Utrera | 1.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Xerez Deportivo sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (18 points from 10 matches) and Utrera sit 7th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Xerez Deportivo | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | Utrera | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
A question about Xerez Deportivo vs Utrera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Xerez Deportivo vs Utrera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Xerez Deportivo the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Utrera.
- Where and when is Xerez Deportivo vs Utrera played?
- Xerez Deportivo vs Utrera is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.