Eger vs Tarpa: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 18Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Szentmarjay Tibor Városi Stadion, Eger
The Footlab AI model makes Eger the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Tarpa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eger wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eger vs Tarpa?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Eger (1,371) and Tarpa (1,390).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eger vs Tarpa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eger
Not enough data to predict the Eger lineup.
Tarpa
Not enough data to predict the Tarpa lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eger have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Tarpa have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Füzesabony(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Diósgyőr II(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hajdúnánás(away) | 1-5 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mátészalka(home) | 0-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Gödöllő(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kisvárda II(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Debrecen II(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza II(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tiszafuredi VSE(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Eger wins, 1 draw, 1 Tarpa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tarpa 1-2 Eger | NB III - Northeast |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tarpa 2-0 Eger | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Eger 2-0 Tarpa | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Tarpa 0-0 Eger | Magyar Kupa |
How many goals should we expect?
Eger score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tarpa score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eger | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Tarpa | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eger sit 7th in NB III - Northeast (17 points from 11 matches) and Tarpa sit 15th (6 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Eger | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 17 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 6 |
A question about Eger vs Tarpa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eger vs Tarpa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eger the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Tarpa.
- Where and when is Eger vs Tarpa played?
- Eger vs Tarpa is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Szentmarjay Tibor Városi Stadion, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.