Tarpa vs Ózd Sajóvölgye: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 19Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tarpa Sportcentrum, Tarpa
The Footlab model makes Tarpa the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Ózd Sajóvölgye. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tarpa vs Ózd Sajóvölgye?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Tarpa (1,441) and Ózd Sajóvölgye (1,415).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarpa have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ózd Sajóvölgye have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Emodi(away) | 1-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | DEAC(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eger(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Füzesabony(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ibrány SE(away) | 2-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tarpa(home) | 4-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cigand SE(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tiszafuredi VSE(away) | 2-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tiszaújváros(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Tarpa win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ózd Sajóvölgye win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye 4-0 Tarpa | NB III - Northeast |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye 3-1 Tarpa | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Tarpa 1-0 Ózd Sajóvölgye | NB III - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Ózd Sajóvölgye vs Tarpa on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tarpa score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ózd Sajóvölgye score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarpa | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ózd Sajóvölgye | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tarpa sit 15th in NB III - Northeast (3 points from 4 matches) and Ózd Sajóvölgye sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ózd Sajóvölgye | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tarpa vs Ózd Sajóvölgye?
- The Footlab model makes Tarpa the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Ózd Sajóvölgye.
- Where and when is Tarpa vs Ózd Sajóvölgye played?
- Tarpa vs Ózd Sajóvölgye is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tarpa Sportcentrum, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.