Tarpa vs Ózd Sajóvölgye: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 19Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tarpa Sportcentrum, Tarpa
The Footlab AI model makes Ózd Sajóvölgye the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Tarpa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ózd Sajóvölgye wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,046 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tarpa vs Ózd Sajóvölgye?
Ózd Sajóvölgye starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,529 vs 1,399).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tarpa vs Ózd Sajóvölgye
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tarpa
Not enough data to predict the Tarpa lineup.
Ózd Sajóvölgye
Not enough data to predict the Ózd Sajóvölgye lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 04:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarpa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Ózd Sajóvölgye have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gödöllő(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kisvárda II(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Debrecen II(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza II(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Füzesabony(home) | 4-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Diósgyőr II(away) | 3-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hajdúnánás(home) | 9-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mátészalka(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gödöllő(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Tarpa win, 0 draws, 2 Ózd Sajóvölgye wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye 4-0 Tarpa | NB III - Northeast |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye 3-1 Tarpa | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Tarpa 1-0 Ózd Sajóvölgye | NB III - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Ózd Sajóvölgye vs Tarpa on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tarpa score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ózd Sajóvölgye score 3.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarpa | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Ózd Sajóvölgye | 3.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tarpa sit 15th in NB III - Northeast (9 points from 12 matches) and Ózd Sajóvölgye sit 1st (30 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ózd Sajóvölgye | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 11 | 30 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 9 |
A question about Tarpa vs Ózd Sajóvölgye?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tarpa vs Ózd Sajóvölgye?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ózd Sajóvölgye the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Tarpa.
- Where and when is Tarpa vs Ózd Sajóvölgye played?
- Tarpa vs Ózd Sajóvölgye is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tarpa Sportcentrum, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.