Egersund vs Sogndal: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Egersund Idrettsparken, Egersund
The Footlab model makes Egersund the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Sogndal. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Egersund vs Sogndal?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Egersund (1,855) and Sogndal (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Egersund have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sogndal have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Våg(away) | 5-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stabaek(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Stromsgodset(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sandnes ULF(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Asane(away) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fjøra(away) | 8-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sandnes ULF(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bryne(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lyn(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ranheim(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Egersund win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sogndal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Sogndal 4-2 Egersund | 1. Division |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Sogndal 0-1 Egersund | 1. Division |
| May 25, 2025 | Egersund 0-2 Sogndal | 1. Division |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Egersund 0-2 Sogndal | 1. Division |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Sogndal 2-2 Egersund | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Egersund score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sogndal score 2.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egersund | 1.9 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Sogndal | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Egersund sit 8th in 1. Division (26 points from 18 matches) and Sogndal sit 10th (21 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Egersund | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 32 | 26 |
| 10 | Sogndal | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 43 | 21 |
| 11 | Egersund | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
| 12 | Sogndal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Egersund vs Sogndal?
- The Footlab model makes Egersund the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Sogndal.
- Where and when is Egersund vs Sogndal played?
- Egersund vs Sogndal is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Egersund Idrettsparken, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.