Stromsgodset vs Haugesund: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Marienlyst Stadion, Drammen
The Footlab AI model makes Stromsgodset the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Haugesund. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stromsgodset vs Haugesund?
On Elo ratings, Stromsgodset has 1,936 points and Haugesund 1,941.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stromsgodset vs Haugesund
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stromsgodset
4-3-3- 16F. Ardraa
- 11S. Pingel
- 9E. Melkersen
- 10H. Stengel
- 8K. Krasniqi
- 22K. Antonsen
- 71G. Valsvik
- 25J. Taaje
- 3V. Dedes
- 26L. Vilsvik
- 1M. Lamhauge
Haugesund
4-3-3- 11N. Sandberg
- 30I. Camara
- 29S. Diarra
- 14S. Heltne Nilsen
- 16Bruno Leite
- 41L. Remmem
- 3S. Molde
- 42A. Bondhus
- 18V. Solheim
- 23J. Norbye
- 21E. Fauskanger
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stromsgodset have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Haugesund have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Asane(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Raufoss(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sandnes ULF(home) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Asker(away) | 4-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 5, 2026 | ODD Ballklubb(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stabaek(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Strommen(home) | 4-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Moss(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Djerv(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sogndal(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stromsgodset wins, 1 draw, 2 Haugesund wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Haugesund 4-2 Stromsgodset | 1. Division |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Stromsgodset 2-0 Haugesund | Eliteserien |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Haugesund 0-5 Stromsgodset | Eliteserien |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Haugesund 0-0 Stromsgodset | Eliteserien |
| May 20, 2024 | Stromsgodset 2-0 Haugesund | Eliteserien |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Haugesund 1-0 Stromsgodset | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Haugesund vs Stromsgodset on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stromsgodset score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Haugesund score 3.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stromsgodset | 2.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Haugesund | 3.2 | 1.6 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stromsgodset sit 3rd in 1. Division (51 points from 24 matches) and Haugesund sit 1st (55 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haugesund | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 74 | 39 | 55 |
| 3 | Stromsgodset | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 61 | 31 | 51 |
A question about Stromsgodset vs Haugesund?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stromsgodset vs Haugesund?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stromsgodset the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Haugesund.
- Where and when is Stromsgodset vs Haugesund played?
- Stromsgodset vs Haugesund is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Marienlyst Stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.