Eilenburg vs SC Freital: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 18Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Ilburg-Stadion, Eilenburg
The Footlab model makes SC Freital the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Eilenburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eilenburg vs SC Freital?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Eilenburg (1,737) and SC Freital (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eilenburg have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; SC Freital have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dresden II(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Budissa Bautzen(away) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 4, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 8, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Frankfurt(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dresden II(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 30, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Auerbach(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 10, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Eilenburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SC Freital win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2023 | Eilenburg 4-0 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 1, 2022 | SC Freital 0-2 Eilenburg | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
Last archived meeting: Eilenburg vs SC Freital on May 17, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Eilenburg score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freital score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eilenburg | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| SC Freital | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eilenburg sit 4th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (3 points from 1 matches) and SC Freital sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Eilenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | SC Freital | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eilenburg vs SC Freital?
- The Footlab model makes SC Freital the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Eilenburg.
- Where and when is Eilenburg vs SC Freital played?
- Eilenburg vs SC Freital is played on February 21, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Ilburg-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.